Dr Haider Mannan - Researcher Profile

Biography

Dr Haider Mannan joined the Epidemiology Modelling Unit of Department of Epidemiology & Preventive Medicine as a Research Fellow (top of academic level B) in February 2008. He has developed and published a number of risk equations for predicting cardiovascular incidence and all-cause mortality based on Framingham Heart Study. The use of these risk equations improved upon the measures conventionally used for assessing the effect of cigarette smoking as a risk factor of cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality. He is an experienced SAS programmer and has developed and published SAS macro programs implementing important statistical tools related to prediction and validation of these risk equations. He is currently leading a number of research projects assessing the greater role of cessation of cigarette smoking in reducing the risks of cardiovascular diseases and all-cause mortality and in improving quality and disability adjusted life years in light of the Australian Government policy to cut down on tobacco consumption. He has been collaborating with his unit head Dr Chris Stevenson in a number of projects, for example, to look at the role of modifiable health risk factors in explaining regional variations within the Australian population and estimate the cost-effectiveness of low dose aspirin as compared to FOBT screening in preventing deaths due to colorectal cancer, among others. He has also been collaborating with Dr Anna Peeters and Dr Rory Wolfe in a number of projects related to projecting the Australian obesity epidemic, relationship between detailed and new measures of obesity and cardiovascular diseases, and methodology for development of chronic disease risk prediction equations. To date he has published 25 research articles in peer reviewed journals, 1 book, 7 consultancy/technical reports and 16 conference presentations. He currently has 10 more research articles undergoing peer review in various journals. He is currently CIB for an ARC funded grant worth 217,430 AUD and CID for an NHMRC and NHF grant of 179,362 AUD and previously in 2007 won as CIA a small internal grant of 12,600 AUD at University of Sydney.    

He has been successfully arranging and chairing a monthly special interest group meeting on epidemiological modelling and methods at DEPM since early 2008. He has so far worked in 9 Phd review committees as an independent academic. He is currently co-supervising two Phd students-one from DEPM and another from CORE.

He is about to commence a consultancy project with Chronic Disease Management Network. From December 2008-March 2009 he was involved as a biostatistical consultant for Medibank Private Limited analyzing the predictors of Medibank high value claims for those with cardiovascular conditions. In June 2011 he finished a consultancy work with Centre for Adolescent Health, Murdoch Children's Research Institute, Melbourne, modeling the association between binge drinking by Victorian adolescents and their self-reported mood.

He has been teaching advanced topics in epidemiological modeling as part of a DEPM short course on chronic disease modeling. His other teaching roles included teaching an undergraduate and MPH biostatistics course jointly with A/Prof Rory Wolfe and a Masters level online biostatistics course (linear models) offered through BCA with Prof Andrew Forbes, and in 2009 jointly coordinated a course on clinical research methods with A/Prof Max de Courten. His list of grants, journal publications, reports and conference presentations, awards and invitations is provided in the following attachment.

Qualifications

DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY - POPULATION HEALTH

Institution: University of Western Australia

Year awarded: 2008

MASTER OF SCIENCE IN EPIDEMIOLOGY & BIOSTATISTICS

Institution: University of Western Ontario, Canada

Year awarded: 2002

MASTERS OF ARTS IN SOCIOLOGY

Institution: University of Western Ontario, Canada

Year awarded: 1999

MASTER IN SCIENCE - STATISTICS

Institution: University of Dhaka - Bangladesh

Year awarded: 1990

BACHELOR OF SCIENCE WITH HONOURS - STATISTICS

Institution: University of Dhaka - Bangladesh

Year awarded: 1989

Publications

Books

Mannan, H.R., 2010, Markov Modelling of Coronary Artery Revascularization Procedures: Development and Use of a Markov Simulation Model in CHD Incidence/Mortality and CARPs, Lambert Academic Publishing, Saarbrucken Germany.

Journal Articles

Mannan, H.R., Stevenson, C.E., Peeters, A., McNeil, J.J., 2012, A new set of risk equations for predicting long term risk of all-cause mortality using cardiovascular risk factors, Preventive Medicine [P], vol epub, Academic Press, United States, pp. 1-5.

Wong, E.E.L., Stevenson, C.E., Backholer, K., Mannan, H.R., Pasupathi, K., Hodge, A., Freak-Poli, R., Peeters, A., 2012, Adiposity measures as predictors of long-term physical disability, Annals of Epidemiology [P], vol 22, issue 10, Elsevier Inc., United States, pp. 710-716.

Mannan, H., McNeil, J., 2012, Computer programs to estimate overoptimism in measures of discrimination for predicting the risk of cardiovascular dieases, Journal of Evaluation in Clinical Practice [P], vol x, Wiley-Blackwell, England, pp. 1-5.

Abdullah, A., Wolfe, R.S.J., Mannan, H.R., Stoelwinder, J.U., Stevenson, C.R., Peeters, A., 2012, Epidemiologic merit of obese-years, the combination of degree and duration of obesity, American Journal Of Epidemiology [P], vol 176, issue 2, Oxford University Press, United States, pp. 99-107.

Backholer, K., Mannan, H.R., Magliano, D.J., Walls, H.L., Stevenson, C.E., Beauchamp, A.J., Shaw, J., Peeters, A., 2012, Projected socioeconomic disparities in the prevalence of obesity among Australian adults, Australian and New Zealand Journal of Public Health [P], vol 36, issue 6, Wiley-Blackwell Publishing Asia, Richmond VIC Australia, pp. 557-563.

Walls, H.L., Curtis, A.J., Stevenson, C.E., Mannan, H.R., McNeil, J.J., Freak-Poli, R., Gabbe, B.J., 2012, Reductions in transport mortality in Australia: evidence of a public health success, Accident Analysis and Prevention [P], vol 49, Elsevier Ltd, United Kingdom, pp. 520-524.

Stevenson, C.E., Mannan, H., Peeters, A., Walls, H., Magliano, D., Shaw, J., McNeil, J., 2012, The effect of modifiable risk factors on geographic mortality differentials: a modelling study, BMC Public Health [P], vol 12, issue Art. No: 79, BioMed Central Ltd, UK, pp. 1-14.

Mannan, H., Stevenson, C., Peeters, A., Walls, H., McNeil, J., 2011, Age at quitting smoking as a predictor of risk of cardiovascular disease incidence independent of smoking status, time since quitting and pack-years, BMC Research Notes [E], vol 4, issue Art. No: 39, BioMed Central Ltd, United Kingdom, pp. 1-9.

Walls, H., Peeters, A., Mannan, H., Stevenson, C., 2011, Methodological problem with comparing increases in different measures of body weight, BMC Research Notes [E], vol 4, issue Art. No: 145, BioMed Central Ltd, United Kingdom, pp. 1-3.

Walls, H., Magliano, D., Stevenson, C., Backholer, K., Mannan, H., Shaw, J., Peeters, A., 2011, Projected progression of the prevalence of obesity in Australia, Obesity [P], vol E, Nature Publishing Group, United States, pp. 1-7.

Walls, H., Stevenson, C., Mannan, H., Abdullah, A., Reid, C., McNeil, J., Peeters, A., 2010, Comparing trends in BMI and waist circumference, Obesity [P], vol 19, issue 1, Nature Publishing Group, United States, pp. 216-219.

Mannan, H.R., Stevenson, C.E., Peeters, A., Walls, H.L., McNeil, J.J., 2010, Home > Vol 5, No 2 (2010) > Mannan Font Size: Framingham risk prediction equations for incidence of cardiovascular disease using detailed measures for smoking, Heart International [E], vol 5, issue 2 (e11), Pagepress, Italy, pp. 49-57.

Mannan, H.R., Stevenson, C.E., 2010, SAS macros for point and interval estimation of area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for non-proportional and proportional hazards Weibull models, Journal of Evaluation in Clinical Practice [P], vol 16, issue 4, Wiley-Blackwell Publishing Ltd, United Kingdom, pp. 756-770.

Mannan, H.R., Knuiman, M.W., Hobbs, M., 2010, Using a Markov simulation model to assess the impact of changing trends in coronary heart disease incidence on requirements for coronary artery revascularization procedures in Western Australia, BMC Cardiovascular Disorders [P], vol 10, issue Art. No. 2, BioMed Central Ltd, United Kingdom, pp. 1-8.

Mannan, H.R., Knuiman, M.W., 2009, Exploring the likely effect of the introduction of drug eluting stents on requirements for coronary artery revascularisation procedures in Western Australia: A use of the CHD/CARP Markov Simulation Model, The Open Epidemiology Journal [P], vol 2, Bentham Open, Netherlands, pp. 34-38.

Mannan, H.R., Knuiman, M.W., Hobbs, M., 2008, Adapting a Markov Monte Carlo simulation model for forecasting the number of Coronary Artery Revascularisation Procedures in an era of rapidly changing technology and policy, BMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making [P], vol 8, issue 27, BioMed Central Ltd., UK, pp. 1-11.

Mannan, H.R., Knuiman, M.W., Hobbs, M., 2007, A Markov simulation model for analyzing and forecasting the number of coronary artery revascularization procedures in Western Australia, Annals of Epidemiology [P], vol 17, issue 12, Elsevier Inc., United States, pp. 964-975.

Mannan, H.R., Beaujot, R., 2006, Readiness, willingness and ability to use contraception in Bangladesh, Asia-Pacific Population Journal [P], vol 21, issue 1, United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific * Emerging Social Issues Divn, Thailand, pp. 45-64.