Authors: James H. Breece, Keith R. McLaren, Chris W. Murphy and Alan A. Powell
A macro model incorporating rational expectations in financial markets (the Murphy
Model - MM) is used to endogenize the macroeconomic environment for a comprehensive
general equilibrium model (ORANI). The interface exploits the existence of variables
which are endogenous to both models, calibrating on a shock to government spending, which
is the principal common exogeneity. The responses of the half-dozen doubly endogenous
variables feature prominently in the calibration procedure, which minimizes any conflict
between the stories told about these variables by the two models. Prospective benefits
include:
(1) to the numerous policy-oriented users of ORANI, a facility allowing the macroeconomic
environment to be determined by a macrodynamic model such as MM;
(2) to these users, reassurance that ORANI's short-run translates in calendar time to
about two years;
(3) to the clientele of a macro model, the possibility of much more detailed
projections..
JEL classification: ??
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